Macroeconomics

Sector Hits Highest Point in Over Nine Years

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Since November, the concept of robotics has surged within the Chinese stock marketsThis uptick in interest is propelled by growing expectations surrounding industrial trends and a flurry of activity amongst investors eager to capitalize on emerging technologiesThe Wind Robotics Index has shown an extraordinary 30.25% increase in the fourth quarter, with an impressive 8.04% rise over just the first four trading days of December.

On December 5, the robotics index soared again after four consecutive days of increases, closing at 7554.26 points, a peak not seen since July 2015. Stocks such as Efort (688165.SH) experienced unbroken '20cm' limits, reaching new highs since their listing, while Robotics (300024.SZ) recorded a rise exceeding 12% just in December alone

Meanwhile, Wezhou Spring (603667.SH) enjoyed its fifth straight increase, reflecting robust market enthusiasm.

A closer examination reveals that capital is primarily focusing on core precision components within the robotics industry, such as lead screws, sensors, and reducersSeveral listed companies have openly reported ongoing research and development (R&D) of relevant products or indicated that they are undergoing customer verification testingInterestingly, some companies engaged in industrial robotics emphasized that they are not involved in humanoid robotics, despite the sector's booming interest.

Hot Capital Sparks Robotics Industry Trend

Among the many areas in the robotics sector, humanoid robotics stands out the most

Driven by major manufacturers like Tesla, rapid iterations in hardware and software technology, along with supportive policy frameworks, lead to a significant focus on the developments within the humanoid robotics industry, marking it as a hotbed for speculative investment activity.

Stock performance highlights include Efort leading the charge with a staggering 218.9% gain in the fourth quarter aloneOther notable stocks such as Tuosda (300607.SZ), Sanfeng Intelligent (300276.SZ), Dongfang Precision (002611.SZ), and Julun Smart (002031.SZ) have also seen remarkable attention and activity from investors interested in this burgeoning market.

As the robotic market evolves, it appears that investors are capitalizing on various industrial news, particularly focusing on the small-cap stocks that dominate this investment landscape

This trend is primarily concentrating on precision components integral to the robotics industry, such as lead screws, reducers, sensors, and dexterous handsStocks linked to high-value propositions are attracting substantial investor attention.

Lead screws are critical components transforming rotational motion into linear motion within humanoid robotsAccording to research reports, the value of the 14 lead screws in a humanoid robot totals over 120,000 yuan, making them the highest-value component within the humanoid robot supply chainThe demand for types such as the ball screw, which boasts high load capacity and precision, emphasizes the higher requirements in terms of materials, design, and manufacturing processes

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Consequently, the domestic market remains largely dependent on imports, indicating a low localization rate.

With the continuous development of humanoid robotics, there exists an unprecedented opportunity for its core componentsHowever, as seen with listed companies, whether their humanoid robotics initiatives can deliver on production capabilities remains an unknown elementSeveral companies have disclosed that they are in stages of sampling or testing associated products, sparking speculation about imminent mass productionOthers have clarified that they have yet to engage in the humanoid robotics market.

Taking Shuanglin Co

(300100.SZ) as an example, their investor response on December 5 indicated that they have generated a planetary roller screw product sample that remains in the verification stage with customersThis news spurred the stock to its '20cm' limitDuring an investor event in October, the company noted that their existing roller screw products primarily find applications in automotive bearings.

Shuanglin Coindicated that the technological development aspects of their automotive seat horizontal actuators (referred to as "HDM") and their humanoid robot planetary roller screw products share a common origin, citing similarities in production processes like threading and gear manufacturing

This evolution led the company to foray into the humanoid robot planetary roller screw domain, aiming to create a fresh growth trajectoryNotably, while product prototypes have been developed, mass production lines are still in the works, yet without designated clients, this product has not yielded any revenue during the reporting period.

Wezhou New Spring (603667.SH), which has also engaged in the automotive bearings business, has developed relevant components and parts for lead screwsThe company proclaimed success in sample development of micro ball lead screws, which are applicable in dexterous hands and precision sliding tables, along with military applications, though it reiterated that mass supply in the dexterous hand segment remains to be achieved, and small bulk orders have been placed in non-robotics sectors.

Recently, robotics companies responded to investors, revealing that they primarily offer mobile robot products and systematic solutions related to automotive assembly automation for Tesla

They confirmed that no current collaborations in the humanoid robotics sector have yet commenced with Tesla.

Efort announced that the status of its current operations is stable with no significant changesInformation on the platform Interactive Yi indicates that Efort's humanoid robot prototypes are still under development, with updates expected to begin in the first half of 2025. Meanwhile, the company is engaged in testing related components for its dexterous hand project.

Could the Industry Trend Mirror that of New Energy Vehicles?

The potential robotics applications are breathtaking

Recent research from TrendForce suggests that with major robotics manufacturers expected to achieve mass production by 2025, the global humanoid robotics market could reach a valuation of over $2 billion by 2027. Between 2024 and 2027, the compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) of this sector is projected to reach 154%. In terms of market applications, industrial contexts like factories and logistics are expected to be key environments for humanoid robots by 2025.

Recently, some analysts noted that the production pace in the robotics sector is gradually being realizedThey urged investors not to underestimate the power of this industrial trendWith parallels drawn to the 2019 surge in new energy vehicles, this nascent market is showing signs of an emerging rally worth immense attention

Hua Tai Securities’ research indicates that humanoid robotics represents a spiral advancement path, suggesting that the correct direction while experiencing fluctuations is entirely normalMoving forward with production commencement, clearer expectations around quantity and pricing for robots will likely emerge with potential for new domestic suppliers to come forth.

In the landscape of humanoid robotics, Tesla has emerged as a global leaderThe company’s official robotics account recently showcased new progress for its Optimus robot, demonstrating an ability to catch a tennis ball reliably—a significant advance following its prior capabilities like climbing stairs and moving heavy objects

This accomplishment underscores greater agility and operational finesse, effectively doubling the robot's previous freedom of movementReleased on November 28, the news sparked a 4.6% spike in the robotics index the following day, contributing to a cumulative rise of 13% over the subsequent five trading days—the highest since July 2015.

In truth, while humanoid robots have garnered much speculative attention, the pace of development in industrial robots has become increasingly clearerEfort reported in their institutional research that the domestic market share of home-grown industrial robots escalated from 31% in 2019 to a noteworthy 45% by 2023. Furthermore, projections indicate that this market share could surpass 50% in the first half of 2024, demonstrating a clear trend where orders flock toward leading domestic robotic enterprises

Currently, competition within the industrial robot sector persists with significant market reshuffling underwayLeading firms are anticipated to showcase distinguishing product advantages, technological leadership, market position, and long-term service capabilities.

 

"When discussing the robotics industry, it ultimately translates to conversations about industrial manufacturing—particularly high-end CNC machine tools, which serve as the 'mother machines' of the industrial world, critically influencing the production of precision componentsPresently, which humanoid robotic companies are equipped with adequate technological foundations, R&D capabilities, and whether their existing operations can sustainably fund new business ventures remain central to our observation regarding this industry and corporate evolution, including developments within high-end CNC machine tools and other crucial manufacturing equipment," stated a TMT industry analyst during an interview.

Since November, the concept of robotics has surged within the Chinese stock markets

This uptick in interest is propelled by growing expectations surrounding industrial trends and a flurry of activity amongst investors eager to capitalize on emerging technologiesThe Wind Robotics Index has shown an extraordinary 30.25% increase in the fourth quarter, with an impressive 8.04% rise over just the first four trading days of December.

On December 5, the robotics index soared again after four consecutive days of increases, closing at 7554.26 points, a peak not seen since July 2015. Stocks such as Efort (688165.SH) experienced unbroken '20cm' limits, reaching new highs since their listing, while Robotics (300024.SZ) recorded a rise exceeding 12% just in December alone

Meanwhile, Wezhou Spring (603667.SH) enjoyed its fifth straight increase, reflecting robust market enthusiasm.

A closer examination reveals that capital is primarily focusing on core precision components within the robotics industry, such as lead screws, sensors, and reducersSeveral listed companies have openly reported ongoing research and development (R&D) of relevant products or indicated that they are undergoing customer verification testingInterestingly, some companies engaged in industrial robotics emphasized that they are not involved in humanoid robotics, despite the sector's booming interest.

Hot Capital Sparks Robotics Industry Trend

Among the many areas in the robotics sector, humanoid robotics stands out the most

Driven by major manufacturers like Tesla, rapid iterations in hardware and software technology, along with supportive policy frameworks, lead to a significant focus on the developments within the humanoid robotics industry, marking it as a hotbed for speculative investment activity.

Stock performance highlights include Efort leading the charge with a staggering 218.9% gain in the fourth quarter aloneOther notable stocks such as Tuosda (300607.SZ), Sanfeng Intelligent (300276.SZ), Dongfang Precision (002611.SZ), and Julun Smart (002031.SZ) have also seen remarkable attention and activity from investors interested in this burgeoning market.

As the robotic market evolves, it appears that investors are capitalizing on various industrial news, particularly focusing on the small-cap stocks that dominate this investment landscape

This trend is primarily concentrating on precision components integral to the robotics industry, such as lead screws, reducers, sensors, and dexterous handsStocks linked to high-value propositions are attracting substantial investor attention.

Lead screws are critical components transforming rotational motion into linear motion within humanoid robotsAccording to research reports, the value of the 14 lead screws in a humanoid robot totals over 120,000 yuan, making them the highest-value component within the humanoid robot supply chainThe demand for types such as the ball screw, which boasts high load capacity and precision, emphasizes the higher requirements in terms of materials, design, and manufacturing processes

Consequently, the domestic market remains largely dependent on imports, indicating a low localization rate.

With the continuous development of humanoid robotics, there exists an unprecedented opportunity for its core componentsHowever, as seen with listed companies, whether their humanoid robotics initiatives can deliver on production capabilities remains an unknown elementSeveral companies have disclosed that they are in stages of sampling or testing associated products, sparking speculation about imminent mass productionOthers have clarified that they have yet to engage in the humanoid robotics market.

Taking Shuanglin Co

(300100.SZ) as an example, their investor response on December 5 indicated that they have generated a planetary roller screw product sample that remains in the verification stage with customersThis news spurred the stock to its '20cm' limitDuring an investor event in October, the company noted that their existing roller screw products primarily find applications in automotive bearings.

Shuanglin Coindicated that the technological development aspects of their automotive seat horizontal actuators (referred to as "HDM") and their humanoid robot planetary roller screw products share a common origin, citing similarities in production processes like threading and gear manufacturing

This evolution led the company to foray into the humanoid robot planetary roller screw domain, aiming to create a fresh growth trajectoryNotably, while product prototypes have been developed, mass production lines are still in the works, yet without designated clients, this product has not yielded any revenue during the reporting period.

Wezhou New Spring (603667.SH), which has also engaged in the automotive bearings business, has developed relevant components and parts for lead screwsThe company proclaimed success in sample development of micro ball lead screws, which are applicable in dexterous hands and precision sliding tables, along with military applications, though it reiterated that mass supply in the dexterous hand segment remains to be achieved, and small bulk orders have been placed in non-robotics sectors.

Recently, robotics companies responded to investors, revealing that they primarily offer mobile robot products and systematic solutions related to automotive assembly automation for Tesla

They confirmed that no current collaborations in the humanoid robotics sector have yet commenced with Tesla.

Efort announced that the status of its current operations is stable with no significant changesInformation on the platform Interactive Yi indicates that Efort's humanoid robot prototypes are still under development, with updates expected to begin in the first half of 2025. Meanwhile, the company is engaged in testing related components for its dexterous hand project.

Could the Industry Trend Mirror that of New Energy Vehicles?

The potential robotics applications are breathtaking

Recent research from TrendForce suggests that with major robotics manufacturers expected to achieve mass production by 2025, the global humanoid robotics market could reach a valuation of over $2 billion by 2027. Between 2024 and 2027, the compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) of this sector is projected to reach 154%. In terms of market applications, industrial contexts like factories and logistics are expected to be key environments for humanoid robots by 2025.

Recently, some analysts noted that the production pace in the robotics sector is gradually being realizedThey urged investors not to underestimate the power of this industrial trendWith parallels drawn to the 2019 surge in new energy vehicles, this nascent market is showing signs of an emerging rally worth immense attention

Hua Tai Securities’ research indicates that humanoid robotics represents a spiral advancement path, suggesting that the correct direction while experiencing fluctuations is entirely normalMoving forward with production commencement, clearer expectations around quantity and pricing for robots will likely emerge with potential for new domestic suppliers to come forth.

In the landscape of humanoid robotics, Tesla has emerged as a global leaderThe company’s official robotics account recently showcased new progress for its Optimus robot, demonstrating an ability to catch a tennis ball reliably—a significant advance following its prior capabilities like climbing stairs and moving heavy objects

This accomplishment underscores greater agility and operational finesse, effectively doubling the robot's previous freedom of movementReleased on November 28, the news sparked a 4.6% spike in the robotics index the following day, contributing to a cumulative rise of 13% over the subsequent five trading days—the highest since July 2015.

While humanoid robots have attracted a great deal of speculation, the development of industrial robots has become increasingly straightforwardEfort reported in their research that the domestic market share of locally produced industrial robots rose from 31% in 2019 to an impressive 45% by 2023. Projections suggest that this market share could exceed 50% in the first half of 2024, indicating a clear trend of orders shifting towards leading domestic robotic companies

Currently, competition in the industrial robot sector remains strong, with significant market reshuffling occurringLeading firms are expected to highlight their product advantages, technological expertise, market position, and long-term service capabilities.

 

"When discussing the robotics industry, the conversation often revolves around industrial manufacturing, particularly high-end CNC machine tools, which are considered the 'mother machines' of the industrial worldThese tools play a critical role in the production of precision componentsCurrently, we are focused on which humanoid robotics companies possess strong technological foundations and R&D capabilities, as well as whether their existing operations can sustainably fund new business ventures

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